The 2020 election is a few days away, and I’m having fun with my friends guessing who will win which states. Here’s my final guess:

Created using 270towin.com

But people are asking me how I arrived at this guess. Did I just look at polls? Do I trust polls? What other sources did I look at?

So here’s my research method to guessing who will win the White House.

“Do you trust the polls?”
No. Of course you shouldn’t “trust” polls. Polling is a game statisticians play because once every 4 years people finally listen to them. But for most of us it’s entertainment…

Nate Crenshaw

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